Nintendo Switch 2 Sales Forecast Lowered to 15 Million Amidst Tariff Uncertainty

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Published on: April 08, 2025

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Nintendo Switch 2 Sales Forecast Lowered to 15 Million Amidst Tariff Uncertainty Nintendo’s upcoming console, the Nintendo Switch 2, has been the subject of intense anticipation and industry analysis since its official announcement.

Developed as the next leap in Nintendo’s successful hybrid hardware line, the Switch 2 was originally projected to set new records as the fastest-selling game console worldwide.

However, recent economic shifts and global trade concerns have prompted analysts to revisit their projections. Leading industry research firm DFC Intelligence has revised its sales forecast for the Nintendo Switch 2, notably lowering its 2025 estimate from 17 million to 15 million units sold globally by year’s end.

This adjustment comes in response to ongoing uncertainty regarding potential tariffs on imported electronics imposed by the United States government.

According to DFC’s latest analysis, if Nintendo raises the Switch 2’s retail price in the U.S.

to account for these tariffs, it could deter many prospective buyers until prices stabilize. In a statement summarized for clarity, DFC Intelligence emphasized the fluidity of the situation: "With tariffs and unpredictable pricing, Nintendo may decide to reduce its manufacturing output.

Should the cost to consumers rise significantly because of these tariffs, many interested customers are likely to delay their purchase until more favorable conditions return.

The situation remains dynamic, and DFC intends to provide periodic updates to their projections throughout the year." Nintendo has acted cautiously in response to these evolving circumstances.

The company recently decided to delay pre-orders for the Switch 2 in the United States, stating it is carefully assessing the impact of potential tariffs and market volatility.

Despite these delays, Nintendo confirmed that the Switch 2’s official release date of June 5, 2025, remains unchanged.

Similar pre-order delays have been introduced in Canada as the company works to synchronize North American launch plans. Historically, Nintendo consoles have enjoyed robust launch sales, particularly on the Nintendo Switch platform, which debuted to instant acclaim and rapidly achieved over 125 million units sold worldwide by 2023.

The Switch 2’s expected momentum, even at the revised figure of 15 million units in 2025, would nonetheless mark it as a record-breaker in the gaming hardware sector. This sales adjustment does not diminish the Switch 2’s high expectations.

DFC Intelligence maintains that the console could still achieve the status of fastest-selling hardware of all time if market barriers are addressed.

As the global gaming community keeps a close eye on Nintendo’s moves regarding manufacturing and pricing, the gaming industry awaits further details in the coming months as events continue to unfold. For official updates, readers can monitor Nintendo’s website and statements from DFC Intelligence, as well as ongoing coverage by gaming outlets.

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